Economy Prediction Markets & Odds

Browse the Economy listings currently shown for economic-release outcomes. Coverage depends on what connected venues list, and the available contracts can change. Open an event to confirm the participants, edition and outcomes actually offered rather than assuming every topic or venue is represented on this page.

The contract specifies the agency, statistic and release version that count. A first estimate and a later revision can be different observations, even for the same period. Confirm the named publication and whether the market uses a preliminary or updated figure before comparing prices or interpreting a headline.

Only as allowed by the contract’s revision and finality rules. Some questions observe a particular release rather than the latest value in a historical dataset. Check the release date, observation period and accepted corrections before assuming that a subsequently revised statistic automatically reopens an earlier settled position.

No. A monthly change, year-over-year change, annualized rate and level can measure different things. Seasonal adjustment can also affect the number. Read the exact unit, comparison period and methodology in the listing before matching two contracts or using one version of a statistic to assess another.

Read the market’s publication deadline, equality and rounding provisions. A value strictly above a threshold differs from one at or above it, and a delayed release may trigger a stated fallback. Use the specified precision and observation source rather than inferring settlement from a rounded headline number.

Start by matching the statistic definition, reference period and release version. Similar titles can describe different events or observation windows. Once the definitions agree, compare executable prices, available order size and applicable fees, rather than relying on the displayed price alone. A market order may not fill its whole size at the first quoted price.