Global Temperature Prediction Markets & Odds

Browse the Global Temperature listings currently shown for temperature-record outcomes. Coverage depends on what connected venues list, and the available contracts can change. Open an event to confirm the participants, edition and outcomes actually offered rather than assuming every topic or venue is represented on this page.

The listing names the station, dataset or authority whose observation counts. A local reading, global average and temperature anomaly are different measures. Check the geographic boundary, units and reporting period before comparing contracts or substituting a general weather app’s value for the specified source.

The contract defines precision and whether equality qualifies. A rounded display can obscure the comparison with a record or threshold, and datasets can rank the same period differently. Use the specified source and comparison rule rather than assuming every apparent tie shares a payout or meets the record condition.

Not necessarily. The contract can observe a named publication or require a finalized dataset, and later corrections may be treated differently. Check the release version and review provisions before assuming that an early temperature report is the definitive settlement value for every market about that period.

The contract’s required dataset and publication milestone decide. The observation period can end before the official result is released. Check whether the market concerns a day, month or year and which publication counts instead of treating the end of the measurement window as proof that settlement must happen immediately.

Start by matching the dataset, observation boundary and temperature measure. Similar titles can describe different events or observation windows. Once the definitions agree, compare executable prices, available order size and applicable fees, rather than relying on the displayed price alone. A market order may not fill its whole size at the first quoted price.