Treasuries Prediction Markets & Odds

Browse the Treasuries listings currently shown for Treasury-yield outcomes. Coverage depends on what connected venues list, and the available contracts can change. Open an event to confirm the participants, edition and outcomes actually offered rather than assuming every topic or venue is represented on this page.

Use the maturity and instrument named in the contract. Different Treasury tenors can have different yields, and a generic rate headline may not identify the one being observed. Check the source, reference date and yield definition before comparing contracts or substituting another maturity’s quote.

No. A security’s price and its quoted yield are different measurements, even though they are related. A contract specifies which one it observes and how it is reported. Confirm the unit, maturity and threshold before treating a price move or a yield headline as evidence for the other type of question.

The listing specifies the publication or market observation that counts. An auction result and a later trading yield can differ in timing and definition. Read the named auction, instrument and source rather than assuming every question about the same maturity uses an interchangeable rate.

Read the contract’s calendar, fallback and comparison provisions. A holiday or missing release can change which observation is available, while equality may qualify or fail depending on wording. Use the specified precision and source instead of resolving the outcome from a rounded quote or another day’s value.

Start by matching the maturity, yield series and auction or market observation. Similar titles can describe different events or observation windows. Once the definitions agree, compare executable prices, available order size and applicable fees, rather than relying on the displayed price alone. A market order may not fill its whole size at the first quoted price.